Le incognite demografiche del Corno d'Africa

• Autore: Valentina Fusari
• Carica: Assegnista di ricerca e docente di Popolazione, Sviluppo e Migrazioni presso l'Università di Pavia
• Pagine: 112-131

ISSN: 2612-6672

2 • 1 • 2020

V. Fusari

Le incognite demografiche del Corno

d'Africa

https://riviste.unimi.it/index.php/NAD/index

Le incognite demografiche del Corno d’Africa

Valentina Fusari

Abstract

In the last decade, European considerations and narratives about the Horn of Africa have

been conveyed by the desire to contain the mobility that characterizes the region.

However, a more inclusive and less Eurocentric analysis would lead to comprise - and

therefore to discuss - the role played by the population growth rates in the different

countries of the region in terms of stability and security, potentiality and risk. With this in

mind, the family planning programs i mplemented to control fertility engage local

governments, often in partnership with international donors, in long-term challenges. The

positive outcomes of such programs are partial, and a stronger action to reach the

“demographic peripheries”, where the services and the control of the state diminish,

should be implemented. Indeed, the region is facing an interesting population age

structure that opens the possibility of a demographic dividend. Nevertheless, it is the

management of the population growth, even before mobility control, that may determine,

together with an investment in human capital, the positive consequences offered by the

demographic bonus, whose potential is influenced by the political, socio-cultural and

environmental context.

Keywords: Horn of Africa – Demographic Anthropology – Family Planning Programs –

Demographic Dividend.

SOMMARIO: 1. Introduzione. 2. Nota metodologica. 3. Una riflessione di lunga

durata. 4. Crescite. 5. Pianificazione familiare. 6. Dividendo demografico. 7.

Conclusioni.

 Assegnista di ricerca e docente di Popolazione, S viluppo e Migrazioni pr esso l’Università di

Pavia. Il saggio è stato sottoposto a doppio referaggio cie co.